The Price of Diesel
Moderator: Fatmobile
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- Turbo Charger
- Posts: 344
- Joined: Wed Nov 02, 2005 10:47 am
- Location: kentucky
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- Cetane Booster
- Posts: 66
- Joined: Sat Feb 16, 2008 12:50 pm
- Location: Longville, MN
One of my personal pricing rules about fuel. It takes approx. 90 days for an increase in cude to be seen at my local gas station. We hit the magic $100 a barrel in Dec/Jan. Now it's March and I'm seeing a price spike. Sustained?????
It is important to note that diesel is a distillate and gas is not (or is not considered a distillate by the trading community).
I've played the commodities market and dabbled in futures, mostly in the precious metals arena. When addicted to propane for a home fuel, I'd wait till summer or late fall to do a bulk buy (more than 500 gallons). usually caught it on the upswing heading into fall. Not the lowest but darn close. That cycle no longer strictly applies in the liquified gases arena. My daughter bought propane in late Nov for less than $1.90 a gallon only slightly up from late summer and autumn price levels. weird?
If I were still "playing" in commodities trading it wouldn't be in the fuel sector. It seems to have become more emotionally driven (like the daily flucuations in the bond and equities market) and not driven by solid economic factors. Three months ago energy futures traders were indicating $140-$150 a barrel crude was likely within a year. I don't see any conflicting reason why it wouldn't. That puts the price of fuel oil going into next winter in the $5-$6 a gallon range. If in the next year there is any kind of an obstruction in the availability of crude coming from the middle east all those numbers will be low.
Another helpful indicator to monitor is the various regional reserve levels. In my neck of the woods, gas reserves have been plentiful while fuel oil reserves have been low. Which I believe causes (or contributes to) a disproportionate price difference between gas and diesel. i.e. diesel costs more than premium unleaded.
Scarfed $3.75 a gallon "winterized" diesel from a retailor who hadn't recieved a new shipment from the distributor. Pretty said statement being happy about diesel @ $3.75 a gallon.
Pup
It is important to note that diesel is a distillate and gas is not (or is not considered a distillate by the trading community).
I've played the commodities market and dabbled in futures, mostly in the precious metals arena. When addicted to propane for a home fuel, I'd wait till summer or late fall to do a bulk buy (more than 500 gallons). usually caught it on the upswing heading into fall. Not the lowest but darn close. That cycle no longer strictly applies in the liquified gases arena. My daughter bought propane in late Nov for less than $1.90 a gallon only slightly up from late summer and autumn price levels. weird?
If I were still "playing" in commodities trading it wouldn't be in the fuel sector. It seems to have become more emotionally driven (like the daily flucuations in the bond and equities market) and not driven by solid economic factors. Three months ago energy futures traders were indicating $140-$150 a barrel crude was likely within a year. I don't see any conflicting reason why it wouldn't. That puts the price of fuel oil going into next winter in the $5-$6 a gallon range. If in the next year there is any kind of an obstruction in the availability of crude coming from the middle east all those numbers will be low.
Another helpful indicator to monitor is the various regional reserve levels. In my neck of the woods, gas reserves have been plentiful while fuel oil reserves have been low. Which I believe causes (or contributes to) a disproportionate price difference between gas and diesel. i.e. diesel costs more than premium unleaded.
Scarfed $3.75 a gallon "winterized" diesel from a retailor who hadn't recieved a new shipment from the distributor. Pretty said statement being happy about diesel @ $3.75 a gallon.
Pup
85 Golf NA 1.6L
85 Jetta Turbo 1.6L
83 Chevy C10 NA 6.2L
88 Chevy Suburban NA 6.2L
94 Chevy K1500 Turbo 6.5L
Hatz 1B30 powered Log splitter
85 Jetta Turbo 1.6L
83 Chevy C10 NA 6.2L
88 Chevy Suburban NA 6.2L
94 Chevy K1500 Turbo 6.5L
Hatz 1B30 powered Log splitter
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- Cetane Booster
- Posts: 66
- Joined: Sat Feb 16, 2008 12:50 pm
- Location: Longville, MN
Alot of modern 2 strokes are "supercharged" through the exhaust port through the use of an expansion chamber (muffler looking thing). The small hole at the end is really a design feature.
Now fitting a small 2 stoke diesel to that moped would be way trick.
Pup
Now fitting a small 2 stoke diesel to that moped would be way trick.
Pup
85 Golf NA 1.6L
85 Jetta Turbo 1.6L
83 Chevy C10 NA 6.2L
88 Chevy Suburban NA 6.2L
94 Chevy K1500 Turbo 6.5L
Hatz 1B30 powered Log splitter
85 Jetta Turbo 1.6L
83 Chevy C10 NA 6.2L
88 Chevy Suburban NA 6.2L
94 Chevy K1500 Turbo 6.5L
Hatz 1B30 powered Log splitter
yup, leave the pea sized exahuse on it as the honda areo 50 and other 2 strokes are indeed super charged via a ultra sonic bounce back where the sound bounces back and seals the open port off and forces the unburnt fuel back into the cylinder. this used to be called the "powerband" back in the 1980's when motocross bikes first used this feature. This feature is called "keeping it on the pipe" meaning keeping the engine at that exact RPM where the sound supercharges the engine.
As for fuel prices, rose $0.20 cents overnight, $3.89 now
As for fuel prices, rose $0.20 cents overnight, $3.89 now
90' Toyota X cab 4x4
02' Honda civic
85' VW Golf Diesel Project
95' dodge 12v cummins
13' VW Passat TDI DSG
02' Honda civic
85' VW Golf Diesel Project
95' dodge 12v cummins
13' VW Passat TDI DSG
WHAT~ Just filled up my motorhome..... $700!!
yikes.
yikes.
1981 Caddy diesel 119K with working r12 A/C!
Freshly rebuilt engine .020 over, rebuilt 4 speed recently converted to a FN 5 speed, new control arm, ball joints, steering rack, engine mounts, clutch, clutch cable,flywheel, all brakes, brake cylinders, wheels, tires, Audiovox cruise control, HID Headlights, LED instrument lights.
Bob Jupiter, FL
Freshly rebuilt engine .020 over, rebuilt 4 speed recently converted to a FN 5 speed, new control arm, ball joints, steering rack, engine mounts, clutch, clutch cable,flywheel, all brakes, brake cylinders, wheels, tires, Audiovox cruise control, HID Headlights, LED instrument lights.
Bob Jupiter, FL
Well then, I'll leave the factory supercharger on. I don't know what this guy did, but way back when, he modded his moped so it could easily beat mine in a "race." Don't know how much mileage or engine longevity suffered, though. My moped isn't a complete slug. I raced a 70s era Datsun wagon in a one block race and won, but he pulled away after that. I think he had maybe 5 more horsepower.............it was slow.
No kidding. Saw $4.05 at my local pump today, up something like 16 cents from a couple of days ago...ribguy wrote:What a difference a day makes. Northern Idaho $4.05 gallon
'92 Dodge W250 Cummins Turbo Diesel
'90 Subaru Legacy AWD wagon
'89 Jetta diesel
'88 Jetta Carat gasser
http://blog.redalderranch.com
'90 Subaru Legacy AWD wagon
'89 Jetta diesel
'88 Jetta Carat gasser
http://blog.redalderranch.com
Mon Mar 10, 2008
$3.85 in Bridgeport, OH
$4.09 in Washington, PA
Thur Mar 12th, 2008
$3.99 in Bridgeport, OH (One station $4.39, must have just got a delivery)
$4.29 in Washington, PA
$3.85 in Bridgeport, OH
$4.09 in Washington, PA
Thur Mar 12th, 2008
$3.99 in Bridgeport, OH (One station $4.39, must have just got a delivery)
$4.29 in Washington, PA
All problems can be solved with the appropriate application of antimatter!
'81 Rabbit 125K
'88 GMC Step Van P-30 6.2L
Detroit Diesel 2-71 Generator
'81 Rabbit 125K
'88 GMC Step Van P-30 6.2L
Detroit Diesel 2-71 Generator